In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Voting Intention: Con 25%, Lab 48% (9-10 Nov 2022) | YouGov However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. Poll shows Scottish independence is not just a nationalist cause Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Boris Johnson Goads Rishi Sunak Over Poor Tory Poll Ratings YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Two new UK-wide opinion polls have added weight to the growing belief that Labour would be close to catching the SNP if a General Election were held anytime soon.. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . Latest Opinion Polls - The Result Of A General Election Today Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. About; Social . That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Stay informed. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Scottish independence poll: do people in Scotland want to be In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote, and from 40 per cent to 36 per cent in the regional vote and from 43 per cent to 42 per cent for Westminster. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. N.B. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Easy-to-digest video clips. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. conducted. By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. on public opinion. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. Opinion polling on Scottish independence - Wikipedia Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. Notable recent election polls Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. 4th October 2022| Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. We don't have an account for this email address. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. UK general election polls 2023 | Statista The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Journalism in Britain is under threat. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. The poll for the Sun found. conservative party Labour Party The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. @BritainElects. Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. . It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. We will not share your email address with any third parties. YouGov | What the world thinks Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. A poll of more than 1,000 people . In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. 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